🇦🇷 Argentina 0–0 Netherlands 🇳🇱

2014 World Cup · Semi-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €392M · value #4 · Elo #4

0–0draw

value €208M · value #11 · Elo #5

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2082 vs 2095

Stage

Semi-final

2014 World Cup