🇭🇷 Croatia 4–0 Cameroon 🇨🇲

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €197M · value #12 · Elo #19

4–0Croatia win

value €117M · value #18 · Elo #32

Model P(result)

67.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.57

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

219

1811 vs 1592

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup