🇧🇷 Brazil 3–1 Croatia 🇭🇷

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1

3–1Brazil win

value €197M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

78.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

320

2138 vs 1818

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup