🇧🇷 Brazil 3–1 Croatia 🇭🇷
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇧🇷 Brazil value €468M · value #3 · Elo #1
Neymar €60M Hulk €48M Thiago Silva €40M 3–1 Brazil win
🇭🇷 Croatia value €197M · value #12 · Elo #19
Luka Modrić €40M Mario Mandžukić €30M Ivan Rakitić €20M Goals
Brazil ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Neymar 29' (pen) 29 Neymar Neymar 71' (pen) 71 Neymar Oscar 90+1' 91 Oscar Marcelo 12' (o.g.) 12 Marcelo
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇷 Brazil
Júlio César · GK 12 César Dani Alves · RB 2 Alves Thiago Silva · CB 3 Silva David Luiz · CB 4 Luiz Marcelo · LB 6 Marcelo Oscar · AM 11 Oscar Luiz Gustavo · DM 17 Gustavo Paulinho · DM 8 Paulinho Neymar · LW 10 Neymar Hulk · RW 7 Hulk Fred · CF 9 Fred 🇭🇷 Croatia
Stipe Pletikosa · GK 1 Pletikosa Darijo Srna · RB 11 Srna Šime Vrsaljko · LB 2 Vrsaljko Vedran Ćorluka · CB 5 Ćorluka Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Mateo Kovačić · AM 20 Kovačić Ivan Rakitić · CM 7 Rakitić Ivica Olić · LW 18 Olić Ivan Perišić · RW 4 Perišić Nikica Jelavić · CF 9 Jelavić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇷 Brazil 78.1% draw 16.4% 5.5% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
78.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#442
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.36
−log₂ P(observed)
Brazil's run W 🇭🇷 3–1 Croatia, Group D 🇲🇽 0–0 Mexico, Group W 🇨🇲 4–1 Cameroon, Group D 🇨🇱 1–1 Chile, Round of 16 W 🇨🇴 2–1 Colombia, Quarter-final L 🇩🇪 1–7 Germany, Semi-final L 🇳🇱 0–3 Netherlands, Third place Croatia's run L 🇧🇷 1–3 Brazil, Group W 🇨🇲 4–0 Cameroon, Group L 🇲🇽 1–3 Mexico, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup