🇲🇽 Mexico 3–1 Croatia 🇭🇷
2014 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €97M · value #21 · Elo #20
Javier Hernández €16M Giovani dos Santos €10M Héctor Moreno €7M 3–1 Mexico win
🇭🇷 Croatia value €197M · value #12 · Elo #19
Luka Modrić €40M Mario Mandžukić €30M Ivan Rakitić €20M Goals
Mexico ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Rafael Márquez 72' 72 Márquez Andrés Guardado 75' 75 Guardado Javier Hernández 82' 82 Hernández Ivan Perišić 87' 87 Perišić
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Francisco Rodríguez · CB 2 Rodríguez Paul Aguilar · RWB 22 Aguilar Rafael Márquez · CB 4 Márquez Miguel Layún · LWB 7 Layún Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado José Juan Vázquez · DM 23 Vázquez Héctor Herrera · CM 6 Herrera Giovani dos Santos · SS 10 Santos Oribe Peralta · CF 19 Peralta 🇭🇷 Croatia
Stipe Pletikosa · GK 1 Pletikosa Darijo Srna · RB 11 Srna Šime Vrsaljko · LB 2 Vrsaljko Vedran Ćorluka · CB 5 Ćorluka Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · AM 10 Modrić Danijel Pranjić · CM 3 Pranjić Ivan Rakitić · CM 7 Rakitić Mario Mandžukić · CF 17 Mandžukić Ivica Olić · LW 18 Olić Ivan Perišić · RW 4 Perišić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 38.9% draw 27.0% 34.1% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
39.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#212
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.36
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇨🇲 1–0 Cameroon, Group D 🇧🇷 0–0 Brazil, Group W 🇭🇷 3–1 Croatia, Group L 🇳🇱 1–2 Netherlands, Round of 16 Croatia's run L 🇧🇷 1–3 Brazil, Group W 🇨🇲 4–0 Cameroon, Group L 🇲🇽 1–3 Mexico, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup