🇲🇽 Mexico 3–1 Croatia 🇭🇷

2014 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €97M · value #21 · Elo #20

3–1Mexico win

value €197M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

39.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1853 vs 1836

Stage

Group

2014 World Cup