🇳🇱 Netherlands 2–1 Mexico 🇲🇽
2014 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇳🇱 Netherlands value €208M · value #11 · Elo #5
Robin van Persie €40M Arjen Robben €25M Wesley Sneijder €17M 2–1 Netherlands win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €97M · value #21 · Elo #20
Javier Hernández €16M Giovani dos Santos €10M Héctor Moreno €7M Goals
Netherlands ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Wesley Sneijder 88' 88 Sneijder Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 90+4' (pen) 94 Huntelaar Giovani dos Santos 48' 48 Santos
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇱 Netherlands
Jasper Cillessen · GK 1 Cillessen Paul Verhaegh · RB 12 Verhaegh Ron Vlaar · CB 2 Vlaar Stefan de Vrij · CB 3 Vrij Daley Blind · LB 5 Blind Wesley Sneijder · AM 10 Sneijder Dirk Kuyt · RM 15 Kuyt Georginio Wijnaldum · LM 20 Wijnaldum Nigel de Jong · CM 6 Jong Arjen Robben · CF 11 Robben Robin van Persie · CF 9 Persie 🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Francisco Javier Rodríguez · CB 2 Rodríguez Paul Aguilar · RWB 22 Aguilar Rafael Márquez · CB 4 Márquez Miguel Layún · LWB 7 Layún Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado Carlos Salcido · CM 3 Salcido Héctor Herrera · CM 6 Herrera Giovani dos Santos · CF 10 Santos Oribe Peralta · CF 19 Peralta Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇱 Netherlands 65.8% draw 21.6% 12.6% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
65.8%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#368
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.60
−log₂ P(observed)
Netherlands's run W 🇪🇸 5–1 Spain, Group W 🇦🇺 3–2 Australia, Group W 🇨🇱 2–0 Chile, Group W 🇲🇽 2–1 Mexico, Round of 16 D 🇨🇷 0–0 Costa Rica, Quarter-final D 🇦🇷 0–0 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇧🇷 3–0 Brazil, Third place Mexico's run W 🇨🇲 1–0 Cameroon, Group D 🇧🇷 0–0 Brazil, Group W 🇭🇷 3–1 Croatia, Group L 🇳🇱 1–2 Netherlands, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.