🇧🇷 Brazil 2–0 Mexico 🇲🇽
2018 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇧🇷 Brazil value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1
Neymar €180M Philippe Coutinho €100M Roberto Firmino €80M 2–0 Brazil win
🇲🇽 Mexico value €155M · value #19 · Elo #15
Hirving Lozano €25M Héctor Herrera €20M Javier Hernández €15M Goals
Brazil ▲ Mexico ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Neymar 51' 51 Neymar Roberto Firmino 88' 88 Firmino
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Thiago Silva · CB 2 Silva Fagner · RB 22 Fagner Miranda · CB 3 Miranda Filipe Luís · LB 6 Luís Philippe Coutinho · AM 11 Coutinho Paulinho · CM 15 Paulinho Casemiro · CM 5 Casemiro Neymar · LW 10 Neymar Willian · RW 19 Willian Gabriel Jesus · CF 9 Jesus 🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Hugo Ayala · CB 2 Ayala Edson Álvarez · RB 21 Álvarez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo Carlos Salcedo · CB 3 Salcedo Carlos Vela · RF 11 Vela Héctor Herrera · CM 16 Herrera Andrés Guardado · CM 18 Guardado Hirving Lozano · LF 22 Lozano Rafael Márquez · CM 4 Márquez Javier Hernández · CF 14 Hernández Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇷 Brazil 76.2% draw 17.3% 6.5% Mexico 🇲🇽
Model P(result)
76.2%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#429
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.39
−log₂ P(observed)
Brazil's run D 🇨🇭 1–1 Switzerland, Group W 🇨🇷 2–0 Costa Rica, Group W 🇷🇸 2–0 Serbia, Group W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Round of 16 L 🇧🇪 1–2 Belgium, Quarter-final Mexico's run W 🇩🇪 1–0 Germany, Group W 🇰🇷 2–1 South Korea, Group L 🇸🇪 0–3 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 0–2 Brazil, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup