🇷🇺 Russia 1–1 Spain 🇪🇸
2018 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇷🇺 Russia value €162M · value #18 · Elo #28
Aleksandr Golovin €18M Fyodor Smolov €16M Mário Fernandes €16M 1–1 draw
🇪🇸 Spain value €1034M · value #2 · Elo #3
Sergio Busquets €80M Isco €75M Marco Asensio €75M Goals
Russia ▲ Spain ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Artem Dzyuba 41' (pen) 41 Dzyuba Sergei Ignashevich 12' (o.g.) 12 Ignashevich
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇷🇺 Russia
Igor Akinfeev · GK 1 Akinfeev Fyodor Kudryashov · CB 13 Kudryashov Yuri Zhirkov · LWB 18 Zhirkov Mário Fernandes · RWB 2 Fernandes Ilya Kutepov · CB 3 Kutepov Sergei Ignashevich · SW 4 Ignashevich Roman Zobnin · CM 11 Zobnin Aleksandr Samedov · CM 19 Samedov Daler Kuzyayev · CM 7 Kuzyayev Aleksandr Golovin · CF 17 Golovin Artem Dzyuba · CF 22 Dzyuba 🇪🇸 Spain
David de Gea · GK 1 Gea Sergio Ramos · CB 15 Ramos Jordi Alba · LB 18 Alba Gerard Piqué · CB 3 Piqué Nacho · RB 4 Nacho Isco · AM 22 Isco Sergio Busquets · CM 5 Busquets Koke · CM 8 Koke Diego Costa · CF 19 Costa Marco Asensio · LW 20 Asensio David Silva · RW 21 Silva Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇷🇺 Russia 4.8% draw 15.6% 79.6% Spain 🇪🇸
Model P(result)
15.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#34
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.68
−log₂ P(observed)
Russia's run W 🇸🇦 5–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇪🇬 3–1 Egypt, Group L 🇺🇾 0–3 Uruguay, Group D 🇪🇸 1–1 Spain, Round of 16 D 🇭🇷 2–2 Croatia, Quarter-final Spain's run D 🇵🇹 3–3 Portugal, Group W 🇮🇷 1–0 Iran, Group D 🇲🇦 2–2 Morocco, Group D 🇷🇺 1–1 Russia, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.