🇷🇺 Russia 2–2 Croatia 🇭🇷
2018 World Cup · Quarter-final. tournament · tables
🇷🇺 Russia value €162M · value #18 · Elo #28
Aleksandr Golovin €18M Fyodor Smolov €16M Mário Fernandes €16M 2–2 draw
🇭🇷 Croatia value €364M · value #10 · Elo #14
Ivan Rakitić €50M Ivan Perišić €40M Mateo Kovačić €30M Goals
Russia ▲ Croatia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Denis Cheryshev 31' 31 Cheryshev Mário Fernandes 115' 115 Fernandes Andrej Kramarić 39' 39 Kramarić Domagoj Vida 101' 101 Vida
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇷🇺 Russia
Igor Akinfeev · GK 1 Akinfeev Fyodor Kudryashov · LB 13 Kudryashov Mário Fernandes · RB 2 Fernandes Ilya Kutepov · CB 3 Kutepov Sergei Ignashevich · CB 4 Ignashevich Roman Zobnin · CM 11 Zobnin Aleksandr Golovin · AM 17 Golovin Daler Kuzyayev · CM 7 Kuzyayev Aleksandr Samedov · RW 19 Samedov Artem Dzyuba · CF 22 Dzyuba Denis Cheryshev · LW 6 Cheryshev 🇭🇷 Croatia
Danijel Subašić · GK 23 Subašić Šime Vrsaljko · RB 2 Vrsaljko Domagoj Vida · CB 21 Vida Ivan Strinić · LB 3 Strinić Dejan Lovren · CB 6 Lovren Luka Modrić · CM 10 Modrić Ivan Rakitić · CM 7 Rakitić Andrej Kramarić · AM 9 Kramarić Mario Mandžukić · CF 17 Mandžukić Ante Rebić · RW 18 Rebić Ivan Perišić · LW 4 Perišić Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇷🇺 Russia 9.9% draw 20.0% 70.1% Croatia 🇭🇷
Model P(result)
20.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#59
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.33
−log₂ P(observed)
Russia's run W 🇸🇦 5–0 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇪🇬 3–1 Egypt, Group L 🇺🇾 0–3 Uruguay, Group D 🇪🇸 1–1 Spain, Round of 16 D 🇭🇷 2–2 Croatia, Quarter-final Croatia's run W 🇳🇬 2–0 Nigeria, Group W 🇦🇷 3–0 Argentina, Group W 🇮🇸 2–1 Iceland, Group D 🇩🇰 1–1 Denmark, Round of 16 D 🇷🇺 2–2 Russia, Quarter-final W 🏴 2–1 England, Semi-final L 🇫🇷 2–4 France, Final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.