🇷🇺 Russia 0–3 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €162M · value #18 · Elo #28

0–3Uruguay win

value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

62.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.68

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

180

1731 vs 1911

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup