🇫🇷 France 1–0 Belgium 🇧🇪
2018 World Cup · Semi-final. tournament · tables
🇫🇷 France value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4
Kylian Mbappé €120M Antoine Griezmann €100M Paul Pogba €90M 1–0 France win
🇧🇪 Belgium value €754M · value #6 · Elo #8
Kevin De Bruyne €150M Eden Hazard €110M Romelu Lukaku €90M Goals
France ▲ Belgium ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Samuel Umtiti 51' 51 Umtiti
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇫🇷 France
Hugo Lloris · GK 1 Lloris Benjamin Pavard · RB 2 Pavard Lucas Hernandez · LB 21 Hernandez Raphaël Varane · CB 4 Varane Samuel Umtiti · CB 5 Umtiti N'Golo Kanté · CM 13 Kanté Paul Pogba · CM 6 Pogba Antoine Griezmann · AM 7 Griezmann Kylian Mbappé · RW 10 Mbappé Blaise Matuidi · LW 14 Matuidi Olivier Giroud · CF 9 Giroud 🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Toby Alderweireld · CB 2 Alderweireld Vincent Kompany · CB 4 Kompany Jan Vertonghen · CB 5 Vertonghen Mousa Dembélé · CM 19 Dembélé Nacer Chadli · RM 22 Chadli Axel Witsel · DM 6 Witsel Kevin De Bruyne · LM 7 Bruyne Marouane Fellaini · CM 8 Fellaini Eden Hazard · CF 10 Hazard Romelu Lukaku · CF 9 Lukaku Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇫🇷 France 39.1% draw 27.0% 33.9% Belgium 🇧🇪
Model P(result)
39.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#216
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.35
−log₂ P(observed)
France's run W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Group W 🇵🇪 1–0 Peru, Group D 🇩🇰 0–0 Denmark, Group W 🇦🇷 4–3 Argentina, Round of 16 W 🇺🇾 2–0 Uruguay, Quarter-final W 🇧🇪 1–0 Belgium, Semi-final W 🇭🇷 4–2 Croatia, Final Belgium's run W 🇵🇦 3–0 Panama, Group W 🇹🇳 5–2 Tunisia, Group W 🏴 1–0 England, Group W 🇯🇵 3–2 Japan, Round of 16 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Quarter-final L 🇫🇷 0–1 France, Semi-final W 🏴 2–0 England, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.