🇫🇷 France 2–0 Uruguay 🇺🇾

2018 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1080M · value #1 · Elo #4

2–0France win

value €373M · value #9 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

42.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.22

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2028 vs 1984

Stage

Quarter-final

2018 World Cup