🇧🇷 Brazil 1–1 Switzerland 🇨🇭

2018 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €981M · value #3 · Elo #1

1–1draw

value €218M · value #16 · Elo #12

Model P(result)

19.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.36

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

253

2141 vs 1888

Stage

Group

2018 World Cup