🇲🇽 Mexico 0–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €176M · value #21 · Elo #17

0–0draw

value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1808 vs 1813

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup