🇲🇽 Mexico 0–0 Poland 🇵🇱
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €176M · value #21 · Elo #17
Edson Álvarez €35M Hirving Lozano €28M Raúl Jiménez €12M 0–0 draw
🇵🇱 Poland value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €45M Piotr Zieliński €40M Matty Cash €22M
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Jorge Sánchez · RB 19 Sánchez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo César Montes · CB 3 Montes Alexis Vega · LF 10 Vega Héctor Herrera · CM 16 Herrera Hirving Lozano · RF 22 Lozano Luis Chávez · CM 24 Chávez Edson Álvarez · DM 4 Álvarez Henry Martín · CF 20 Martín 🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Jakub Kiwior · CB 14 Kiwior Kamil Glik · CB 15 Glik Bartosz Bereszyński · CB 18 Bereszyński Grzegorz Krychowiak · DM 10 Krychowiak Jakub Kamiński · CM 13 Kamiński Sebastian Szymański · CM 19 Szymański Matty Cash · RW 2 Cash Piotr Zieliński · CF 20 Zieliński Nicola Zalewski · LW 21 Zalewski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 35.8% draw 27.0% 37.2% Poland 🇵🇱
Model P(result)
27.0%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#166
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.89
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run D 🇵🇱 0–0 Poland, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group W 🇸🇦 2–1 Saudi Arabia, Group
Poland's run D 🇲🇽 0–0 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇦 2–0 Saudi Arabia, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.