🇦🇷 Argentina 2–0 Poland 🇵🇱
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2
Lautaro Martínez €75M Cristian Romero €55M Lionel Messi €50M 2–0 Argentina win
🇵🇱 Poland value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €45M Piotr Zieliński €40M Matty Cash €22M
Goals
Argentina ▲ Poland ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Alexis Mac Allister 46' 46 Allister Julián Alvarez 67' 67 Alvarez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Emiliano Martínez · GK 23 Martínez Cristian Romero · CB 13 Romero Nicolás Otamendi · CB 19 Otamendi Nahuel Molina · RB 26 Molina Marcos Acuña · LB 8 Acuña Ángel Di María · RF 11 María Alexis Mac Allister · CM 20 Allister Enzo Fernández · DM 24 Fernández Rodrigo De Paul · CM 7 Paul Julián Alvarez · LF 9 Alvarez Lionel Messi · CF 10 Messi 🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Jakub Kiwior · CB 14 Kiwior Kamil Glik · CB 15 Glik Bartosz Bereszyński · LB 18 Bereszyński Matty Cash · RB 2 Cash Grzegorz Krychowiak · CM 10 Krychowiak Piotr Zieliński · RM 20 Zieliński Przemysław Frankowski · LM 24 Frankowski Krystian Bielik · CM 6 Bielik Karol Świderski · CF 16 Świderski Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 71.9% draw 19.2% 8.9% Poland 🇵🇱
Model P(result)
71.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#406
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.47
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run L 🇸🇦 1–2 Saudi Arabia, Group W 🇲🇽 2–0 Mexico, Group W 🇵🇱 2–0 Poland, Group W 🇦🇺 2–1 Australia, Round of 16 D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Quarter-final W 🇭🇷 3–0 Croatia, Semi-final D 🇫🇷 3–3 France, Final
Poland's run D 🇲🇽 0–0 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇦 2–0 Saudi Arabia, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.