🇦🇷 Argentina 2–0 Poland 🇵🇱

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

2–0Argentina win

value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

71.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.47

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

258

2101 vs 1843

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup