🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €176M · value #21 · Elo #17

2–1Mexico win

value €25M · value #30 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

55.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.85

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

130

1793 vs 1663

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup