🇲🇽 Mexico 2–1 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €176M · value #21 · Elo #17
Edson Álvarez €35M Hirving Lozano €28M Raúl Jiménez €12M 2–1 Mexico win
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia value €25M · value #30 · Elo #30
Sultan Al-Ghannam €2M Salem Al-Dawsari €2M Firas Al-Buraikan €2M Goals
Mexico ▲ Saudi Arabia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Henry Martín 47' 47 Martín Luis Chávez 52' 52 Chávez Salem Al-Dawsari 90+5' 95 Al-Dawsari
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Guillermo Ochoa · GK 13 Ochoa Héctor Moreno · CB 15 Moreno Jorge Sánchez · RB 19 Sánchez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo César Montes · CB 3 Montes Orbelín Pineda · AM 17 Pineda Luis Chávez · CM 24 Chávez Edson Álvarez · CM 4 Álvarez Alexis Vega · LW 10 Vega Henry Martín · CF 20 Martín Hirving Lozano · RW 22 Lozano 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al-Owais · GK 21 Al-Owais Hassan Al-Tombakti · CB 17 Al-Tombakti Abdulelah Al-Amri · CB 4 Al-Amri Ali Al-Bulaihi · CB 5 Al-Bulaihi Salem Al-Dawsari · LF 10 Al-Dawsari Saud Abdulhamid · LM 12 Abdulhamid Ali Al-Hassan · CM 15 Al-Hassan Sultan Al-Ghannam · RM 2 Al-Ghannam Mohamed Kanno · CM 23 Kanno Firas Al-Buraikan · RF 9 Al-Buraikan Saleh Al-Shehri · CF 11 Al-Shehri Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 55.6% draw 24.6% 19.8% Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
Model P(result)
55.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#304
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.85
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run D 🇵🇱 0–0 Poland, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group W 🇸🇦 2–1 Saudi Arabia, Group Saudi Arabia's run W 🇦🇷 2–1 Argentina, Group L 🇵🇱 0–2 Poland, Group L 🇲🇽 1–2 Mexico, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.