🇵🇱 Poland 2–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16

2–0Poland win

value €25M · value #30 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

54.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

120

1813 vs 1693

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup