🇵🇱 Poland 2–0 Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
2022 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇵🇱 Poland value €256M · value #16 · Elo #16
Robert Lewandowski €45M Piotr Zieliński €40M Matty Cash €22M 2–0 Poland win
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia value €25M · value #30 · Elo #30
Sultan Al-Ghannam €2M Salem Al-Dawsari €2M Firas Al-Buraikan €2M
Goals
Poland ▲ Saudi Arabia ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Piotr Zieliński 39' 39 Zieliński Robert Lewandowski 82' 82 Lewandowski
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇵🇱 Poland
Wojciech Szczęsny · GK 1 Szczęsny Jakub Kiwior · CB 14 Kiwior Kamil Glik · CB 15 Glik Bartosz Bereszyński · CB 18 Bereszyński Grzegorz Krychowiak · CM 10 Krychowiak Matty Cash · RM 2 Cash Piotr Zieliński · AM 20 Zieliński Przemysław Frankowski · LM 24 Frankowski Krystian Bielik · CM 6 Bielik Arkadiusz Milik · CF 7 Milik Robert Lewandowski · CF 9 Lewandowski 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
Mohammed Al-Owais · GK 21 Al-Owais Saud Abdulhamid · RB 12 Abdulhamid Abdulelah Al-Amri · CB 4 Al-Amri Ali Al-Bulaihi · CB 5 Al-Bulaihi Mohammed Al-Breik · LB 6 Al-Breik Sami Al-Najei · CM 16 Al-Najei Mohamed Kanno · CM 23 Kanno Abdulellah Al-Malki · DM 8 Al-Malki Salem Al-Dawsari · LW 10 Al-Dawsari Saleh Al-Shehri · CF 11 Al-Shehri Firas Al-Buraikan · RW 9 Al-Buraikan
Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇵🇱 Poland 54.1% draw 25.0% 20.9% Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦
Model P(result)
54.1%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#292
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.89
−log₂ P(observed)
Poland's run D 🇲🇽 0–0 Mexico, Group W 🇸🇦 2–0 Saudi Arabia, Group L 🇦🇷 0–2 Argentina, Group L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Round of 16
Saudi Arabia's run W 🇦🇷 2–1 Argentina, Group L 🇵🇱 0–2 Poland, Group L 🇲🇽 1–2 Mexico, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.