🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 2–1 Argentina 🇦🇷

2022 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €25M · value #30 · Elo #30

2–1Saudi Arabia win

value €645M · value #7 · Elo #2

Model P(result)

0.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

7.72

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

507

1636 vs 2143

Stage

Group

2022 World Cup