🇩🇪 Germany 7–1 Curaçao 🇨🇼 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €947M · value #5 · Elo #10

7–1Germany win

value €26M · value #45 · Elo #47

Model P(result)

89.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.15

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

498

1932 vs 1434

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup