🇩🇪 Germany 2–1 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €947M · value #5 · Elo #10

2–1Germany win

value €522M · value #11 · Elo #35

Model P(result)

64.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.63

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

196

1939 vs 1743

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup