🇨🇼 Curaçao 0–0 Ecuador 🇪🇨 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €26M · value #45 · Elo #47

0–0draw

value €369M · value #18 · Elo #9

Model P(result)

10.7%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.23

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

463

1427 vs 1890

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup