🇪🇨 Ecuador 2–1 Germany 🇩🇪 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇪🇨 Ecuador value €369M · value #18 · Elo #9
Moisés Caicedo €100M Willian Pacho €80M Piero Hincapié €50M 2–1 Ecuador win
🇩🇪 Germany value €947M · value #5 · Elo #10
Jamal Musiala €100M Florian Wirtz €100M Aleksandar Pavlović €90M Goals
Ecuador ▲ Germany ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Nilson Angulo 9' 9 Angulo Gonzalo Plata 77' 77 Plata Leroy Sané 2' 2 Sané
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇪🇨 Ecuador
Hernán Galíndez · GK 1 Galíndez Alan Franco · RB 21 Franco Piero Hincapié · LB 3 Hincapié Joel Ordóñez · CB 4 Ordóñez Willian Pacho · CB 6 Pacho Pedro Vite · CM 15 Vite Nilson Angulo · LM 20 Angulo Moisés Caicedo · CM 23 Caicedo John Yeboah · RM 9 Yeboah Enner Valencia · CF 13 Valencia Gonzalo Plata · CF 19 Plata 🇩🇪 Germany
Manuel Neuer · GK 1 Neuer Antonio Rüdiger · CB 2 Rüdiger David Raum · LB 22 Raum Jonathan Tah · CB 4 Tah Joshua Kimmich · RB 6 Kimmich Jamal Musiala · AM 10 Musiala Felix Nmecha · CM 23 Nmecha Aleksandar Pavlović · CM 5 Pavlović Florian Wirtz · LW 17 Wirtz Leroy Sané · RW 19 Sané Kai Havertz · CF 7 Havertz Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇨 Ecuador 24.4% draw 25.8% 49.8% Germany 🇩🇪
Model P(result)
24.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#111
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.03
−log₂ P(observed)
Ecuador's run L 🇨🇮 0–1 Ivory Coast, Group D 🇨🇼 0–0 Curaçao, Group W 🇩🇪 2–1 Germany, Group L 🇲🇽 0–2 Mexico, Round of 32 Germany's run W 🇨🇼 7–1 Curaçao, Group W 🇨🇮 2–1 Ivory Coast, Group L 🇪🇨 1–2 Ecuador, Group D 🇵🇾 1–1 Paraguay, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup