🇲🇽 Mexico 2–0 Ecuador 🇪🇨 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €192M · value #27 · Elo #18
Santiago Giménez €18M Edson Álvarez €15M Armando González €15M 2–0 Mexico win
🇪🇨 Ecuador value €369M · value #18 · Elo #9
Moisés Caicedo €100M Willian Pacho €80M Piero Hincapié €50M Goals
Mexico ▲ Ecuador ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Julián Quiñones 22' 22 Quiñones Raúl Jiménez 31' 31 Jiménez
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Raúl Rangel · GK 1 Rangel Jorge Sánchez · RB 2 Sánchez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo César Montes · CB 3 Montes Johan Vásquez · CB 5 Vásquez Julián Quiñones · LF 16 Quiñones Gilberto Mora · CM 19 Mora Roberto Alvarado · RF 25 Alvarado Érik Lira · DM 6 Lira Luis Romo · CM 7 Romo Raúl Jiménez · CF 9 Jiménez 🇪🇨 Ecuador
Hernán Galíndez · GK 1 Galíndez Alan Franco · RB 21 Franco Piero Hincapié · LB 3 Hincapié Joel Ordóñez · CB 4 Ordóñez Willian Pacho · CB 6 Pacho Pedro Vite · CM 15 Vite Nilson Angulo · LM 20 Angulo Moisés Caicedo · CM 23 Caicedo John Yeboah · RM 9 Yeboah Enner Valencia · CF 13 Valencia Gonzalo Plata · CF 19 Plata Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 37.9% draw 27.0% 35.1% Ecuador 🇪🇨
Model P(result)
37.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#208
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.40
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇿🇦 2–0 South Africa, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group W 🇨🇿 3–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇪🇨 2–0 Ecuador, Round of 32 L 🏴 2–3 England, Round of 16 Ecuador's run L 🇨🇮 0–1 Ivory Coast, Group D 🇨🇼 0–0 Curaçao, Group W 🇩🇪 2–1 Germany, Group L 🇲🇽 0–2 Mexico, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup