🇲🇽 Mexico 2–3 England 🏴 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇲🇽 Mexico value €192M · value #27 · Elo #18
Santiago Giménez €18M Edson Álvarez €15M Armando González €15M 2–3 England win
🏴 England value €1358M · value #2 · Elo #4
Jude Bellingham €130M Declan Rice €120M Bukayo Saka €110M Goals
Mexico ▲ England ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Julián Quiñones 42' 42 Quiñones Raúl Jiménez 69' (pen) 69 Jiménez Jude Bellingham 36' 36 Bellingham Jude Bellingham 38' 38 Bellingham Harry Kane 60' (pen) 60 Kane
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇲🇽 Mexico
Raúl Rangel · GK 1 Rangel Jorge Sánchez · RB 2 Sánchez Jesús Gallardo · LB 23 Gallardo César Montes · CB 3 Montes Johan Vásquez · CB 5 Vásquez Julián Quiñones · LF 16 Quiñones Gilberto Mora · CM 19 Mora Roberto Alvarado · RF 25 Alvarado Érik Lira · DM 6 Lira Luis Romo · CM 7 Romo Raúl Jiménez · CF 9 Jiménez 🏴 England
Jordan Pickford · GK 1 Pickford Ezri Konsa · CB 2 Konsa Jarell Quansah · RB 26 Quansah Nico O'Reilly · LB 3 O'Reilly Marc Guéhi · CB 6 Guéhi Jude Bellingham · AM 10 Bellingham Declan Rice · CM 4 Rice Elliot Anderson · CM 8 Anderson Anthony Gordon · LW 18 Gordon Bukayo Saka · RW 7 Saka Harry Kane · CF 9 Kane Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇲🇽 Mexico 22.9% draw 25.5% 51.6% England 🏴
Model P(result)
51.7%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#275
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.95
−log₂ P(observed)
Mexico's run W 🇿🇦 2–0 South Africa, Group W 🇰🇷 1–0 South Korea, Group W 🇨🇿 3–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇪🇨 2–0 Ecuador, Round of 32 L 🏴 2–3 England, Round of 16 England's run W 🇭🇷 4–2 Croatia, Group D 🇬🇭 0–0 Ghana, Group W 🇵🇦 2–0 Panama, Group W 🇨🇩 2–1 DR Congo, Round of 32 W 🇲🇽 3–2 Mexico, Round of 16 W 🇳🇴 2–1 Norway, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇫🇷 6–4 France, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.