🇯🇵 Japan 1–1 Sweden 🇸🇪 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇯🇵 Japan value €271M · value #22 · Elo #14
Kaishū Sano €40M Yuito Suzuki €24M Takefusa Kubo €20M 1–1 draw
🇸🇪 Sweden value €409M · value #15 · Elo #33
Alexander Isak €85M Viktor Gyökeres €65M Yasin Ayari €35M Goals
Japan ▲ Sweden ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Daizen Maeda 56' 56 Maeda Anthony Elanga 62' 62 Elanga
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇯🇵 Japan
Zion Suzuki · GK 1 Suzuki Ayumu Seko · CB 20 Seko Hiroki Itō · CB 21 Itō Kō Itakura · CB 4 Itakura Ritsu Dōan · RF 10 Dōan Daizen Maeda · LF 11 Maeda Keito Nakamura · LM 13 Nakamura Daichi Kamada · CM 15 Kamada Yukinari Sugawara · RM 2 Sugawara Ao Tanaka · CM 7 Tanaka Ayase Ueda · CF 18 Ueda 🇸🇪 Sweden
Jacob Widell Zetterström · GK 1 Zetterström Gustaf Lagerbielke · CB 2 Lagerbielke Isak Hien · CB 4 Hien Gabriel Gudmundsson · CB 5 Gudmundsson Anthony Elanga · RF 11 Elanga Yasin Ayari · CM 18 Ayari Alexander Bernhardsson · RM 21 Bernhardsson Elliot Stroud · LM 24 Stroud Victor Lindelöf · CM 3 Lindelöf Alexander Isak · LF 9 Isak Viktor Gyökeres · CF 17 Gyökeres Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇯🇵 Japan 64.8% draw 21.9% 13.3% Sweden 🇸🇪
Model P(result)
21.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#75
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.19
−log₂ P(observed)
Japan's run D 🇳🇱 2–2 Netherlands, Group W 🇹🇳 4–0 Tunisia, Group D 🇸🇪 1–1 Sweden, Group L 🇧🇷 1–2 Brazil, Round of 32 Sweden's run W 🇹🇳 5–1 Tunisia, Group L 🇳🇱 1–5 Netherlands, Group D 🇯🇵 1–1 Japan, Group L 🇫🇷 0–3 France, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.