🇫🇷 France 3–0 Sweden 🇸🇪 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3

3–0France win

value €409M · value #15 · Elo #33

Model P(result)

83.1%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.27

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

381

2123 vs 1742

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup