🇳🇴 Norway 2–1 Ivory Coast 🇨🇮 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11

2–1Norway win

value €522M · value #11 · Elo #35

Model P(result)

61.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.69

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

175

1918 vs 1743

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup