🇨🇻 Cape Verde 2–2 Uruguay 🇺🇾 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €54M · value #39 · Elo #41

2–2draw

value €359M · value #19 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

18.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.40

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

264

1606 vs 1870

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup