🇪🇸 Spain 1–0 Uruguay 🇺🇾 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables

🇪🇸 Spain
value €1223M · value #3 · Elo #1
  • Lamine Yamal €200M
  • Pedri €150M
  • Pau Cubarsí €80M
1–0Spain win
🇺🇾 Uruguay
value €359M · value #19 · Elo #16
  • Federico Valverde €90M
  • Maximiliano Araújo €35M
  • Rodrigo Zalazar €30M
Goals
Spain ▲Uruguay ▼0'15'30'45'60'75'90'Álex Baena 42'42Baena
🇪🇸 Spain
🇺🇾 Uruguay
Starting line-ups
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇪🇸 Spain 74.6%draw 18.0%7.4% Uruguay 🇺🇾
Model P(result)
74.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#423
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
0.42
−log₂ P(observed)
Elo gap
283
2134 vs 1851

Spain's run

  • D 🇨🇻 0–0 Cape Verde, Group
  • W 🇸🇦 4–0 Saudi Arabia, Group
  • W 🇺🇾 1–0 Uruguay, Group
  • W 🇦🇹 3–0 Austria, Round of 32
  • W 🇵🇹 1–0 Portugal, Round of 16
  • W 🇧🇪 2–1 Belgium, Quarter-final
  • W 🇫🇷 2–0 France, Semi-final

Uruguay's run

  • D 🇸🇦 1–1 Saudi Arabia, Group
  • D 🇨🇻 2–2 Cape Verde, Group
  • L 🇪🇸 0–1 Spain, Group

Head-to-head at the World Cup

  • No prior World Cup meetings.