🇦🇷 Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde 🇨🇻 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Round of 32. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2

3–2Argentina win

value €54M · value #39 · Elo #41

Model P(result)

91.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.14

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

526

2148 vs 1622

Stage

Round of 32

2026 World Cup