🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia 1–1 Uruguay 🇺🇾 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €41M · value #41 · Elo #42

1–1draw

value €359M · value #19 · Elo #16

Model P(result)

16.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

316

1576 vs 1892

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup