🇨🇻 Cape Verde 0–0 Spain 🇪🇸 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €54M · value #39 · Elo #41

0–0draw

value €1223M · value #3 · Elo #1

Model P(result)

8.2%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.61

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

579

1578 vs 2157

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup