🇧🇷 Brazil 1–1 Morocco 🇲🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €928M · value #6 · Elo #5

1–1draw

value €448M · value #14 · Elo #22

Model P(result)

23.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.10

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

164

1991 vs 1827

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup