🇳🇴 Norway 2–1 Brazil 🇧🇷 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 16. tournament · tables
🇳🇴 Norway value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11
Erling Haaland €200M Martin Ødegaard €65M Jørgen Strand Larsen €40M 2–1 Norway win
🇧🇷 Brazil value €928M · value #6 · Elo #5
Vinícius Júnior €140M Gabriel Magalhães €75M Matheus Cunha €75M Goals
Norway ▲ Brazil ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Erling Haaland 79' 79 Haaland Erling Haaland 90' 90 Haaland Neymar 90+10' (pen) 100 Neymar
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇳🇴 Norway
Ørjan Nyland · GK 1 Nyland Torbjørn Heggem · CB 17 Heggem Julian Ryerson · RB 26 Ryerson Kristoffer Ajer · CB 3 Ajer David Møller Wolfe · LB 5 Wolfe Martin Ødegaard · CM 10 Ødegaard Antonio Nusa · LF 20 Nusa Patrick Berg · CM 6 Berg Alexander Sørloth · RF 7 Sørloth Sander Berge · DM 8 Berge Erling Haaland · CF 9 Haaland 🇧🇷 Brazil
Alisson · GK 1 Alisson Danilo Luiz · RB 13 Luiz Douglas Santos · LB 16 Santos Gabriel Magalhães · CB 3 Magalhães Marquinhos · CB 4 Marquinhos Gabriel Martinelli · CM 22 Martinelli Rayan · RF 26 Rayan Casemiro · DM 5 Casemiro Vinícius Júnior · LF 7 Júnior Bruno Guimarães · CM 8 Guimarães Matheus Cunha · CF 9 Cunha Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇳🇴 Norway 23.6% draw 25.6% 50.8% Brazil 🇧🇷
Model P(result)
23.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#95
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
2.08
−log₂ P(observed)
Norway's run W 🇮🇶 4–1 Iraq, Group W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Group L 🇫🇷 1–4 France, Group W 🇨🇮 2–1 Ivory Coast, Round of 32 W 🇧🇷 2–1 Brazil, Round of 16 L 🏴 1–2 England, Quarter-final Brazil's run D 🇲🇦 1–1 Morocco, Group W 🇭🇹 3–0 Haiti, Group W 🏴 3–0 Scotland, Group W 🇯🇵 2–1 Japan, Round of 32 L 🇳🇴 1–2 Norway, Round of 16
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.