🇸🇳 Senegal 5–0 Iraq 🇮🇶 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €478M · value #12 · Elo #19

5–0Senegal win

value €21M · value #46 · Elo #39

Model P(result)

68.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.54

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

231

1817 vs 1586

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup