🇳🇴 Norway 3–2 Senegal 🇸🇳 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €590M · value #9 · Elo #11

3–2Norway win

value €478M · value #12 · Elo #19

Model P(result)

49.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.01

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1929 vs 1839

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup