🇧🇪 Belgium 3–2 Senegal 🇸🇳 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Round of 32. tournament · tables
🇧🇪 Belgium value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15
Jérémy Doku €75M Amadou Onana €45M Senne Lammens €35M 3–2 Belgium win
🇸🇳 Senegal value €478M · value #12 · Elo #19
Iliman Ndiaye €55M Ismaïla Sarr €40M Pape Gueye €40M Goals
Belgium ▲ Senegal ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Romelu Lukaku 86' 86 Lukaku Youri Tielemans 89' (pen) 89 Tielemans Youri Tielemans 120+5' (pen) 125 Tielemans Habib Diarra 25' 25 Diarra Ismaïla Sarr 51' 51 Sarr
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇧🇪 Belgium
Thibaut Courtois · GK 1 Courtois Timothy Castagne · RB 21 Castagne Arthur Theate · CB 3 Theate Brandon Mechele · CB 4 Mechele Maxim De Cuyper · LB 5 Cuyper Hans Vanaken · CM 20 Vanaken Kevin De Bruyne · AM 7 Bruyne Youri Tielemans · CM 8 Tielemans Leandro Trossard · RW 10 Trossard Jérémy Doku · LW 11 Doku Charles De Ketelaere · CF 17 Ketelaere 🇸🇳 Senegal
Mory Diaw · GK 23 Diaw Ismail Jakobs · LB 14 Jakobs Krépin Diatta · RB 15 Diatta Moussa Niakhaté · CB 19 Niakhaté Pathé Ciss · CB 6 Ciss Sadio Mané · LF 10 Mané Iliman Ndiaye · RF 13 Ndiaye Habib Diarra · CM 21 Diarra Pape Gueye · CM 26 Gueye Idrissa Gueye · CM 5 Gueye Ismaïla Sarr · CF 18 Sarr Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇧🇪 Belgium 42.7% draw 26.7% 30.6% Senegal 🇸🇳
Model P(result)
42.6%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#235
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.23
−log₂ P(observed)
Belgium's run D 🇪🇬 1–1 Egypt, Group D 🇮🇷 0–0 Iran, Group W 🇳🇿 5–1 New Zealand, Group W 🇸🇳 3–2 Senegal, Round of 32 W 🇺🇸 4–1 United States, Round of 16 L 🇪🇸 1–2 Spain, Quarter-final Senegal's run L 🇫🇷 1–3 France, Group L 🇳🇴 2–3 Norway, Group W 🇮🇶 5–0 Iraq, Group L 🇧🇪 2–3 Belgium, Round of 32
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.