🇫🇷 France 3–0 Iraq 🇮🇶 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €1523M · value #1 · Elo #3

3–0France win

value €21M · value #46 · Elo #39

Model P(result)

89.6%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.16

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

492

2084 vs 1592

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup