🇧🇪 Belgium 0–0 Iran 🇮🇷 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €548M · value #10 · Elo #15

0–0draw

value €32M · value #44 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

24.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.01

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

123

1879 vs 1756

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup