🇦🇷 Argentina 3–1 Switzerland 🇨🇭 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Quarter-final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2

3–1Argentina win

value €332M · value #20 · Elo #17

Model P(result)

65.9%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.60

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

207

2156 vs 1949

Stage

Quarter-final

2026 World Cup