🇦🇷 Argentina 2–1 England 🏴 2026 · live
2026 World Cup · Semi-final. tournament · tables
🇦🇷 Argentina value €808M · value #7 · Elo #2
Julián Alvarez €100M Enzo Fernández €90M Lautaro Martínez €85M 2–1 Argentina win
🏴 England value €1358M · value #2 · Elo #4
Jude Bellingham €130M Declan Rice €120M Bukayo Saka €110M Goals
Argentina ▲ England ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Enzo Fernández 85' 85 Fernández Lautaro Martínez 90+2' 92 Martínez Anthony Gordon 55' 55 Gordon
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇦🇷 Argentina
Emiliano Martínez · GK 23 Martínez Cristian Romero · CB 13 Romero Nahuel Molina · RB 26 Molina Nicolás Tagliafico · LB 3 Tagliafico Lisandro Martínez · CB 6 Martínez Giuliano Simeone · RM 17 Simeone Alexis Mac Allister · CM 20 Allister Enzo Fernández · LM 24 Fernández Leandro Paredes · CM 5 Paredes Lionel Messi · CF 10 Messi Julián Alvarez · CF 9 Alvarez 🏴 England
Jordan Pickford · GK 1 Pickford Reece James · RB 24 James Djed Spence · LB 25 Spence John Stones · CB 5 Stones Marc Guéhi · CB 6 Guéhi Jude Bellingham · AM 10 Bellingham Declan Rice · CM 4 Rice Elliot Anderson · CM 8 Anderson Morgan Rogers · RW 17 Rogers Anthony Gordon · LW 18 Gordon Harry Kane · CF 9 Kane Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇦🇷 Argentina 48.2% draw 26.1% 25.7% England 🏴
Model P(result)
48.3%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#256
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.05
−log₂ P(observed)
Argentina's run W 🇩🇿 3–0 Algeria, Group W 🇦🇹 2–0 Austria, Group W 🇯🇴 3–1 Jordan, Group W 🇨🇻 3–2 Cape Verde, Round of 32 W 🇪🇬 3–2 Egypt, Round of 16 W 🇨🇭 3–1 Switzerland, Quarter-final W 🏴 2–1 England, Semi-final England's run W 🇭🇷 4–2 Croatia, Group D 🇬🇭 0–0 Ghana, Group W 🇵🇦 2–0 Panama, Group W 🇨🇩 2–1 DR Congo, Round of 32 W 🇲🇽 3–2 Mexico, Round of 16 W 🇳🇴 2–1 Norway, Quarter-final L 🇦🇷 1–2 Argentina, Semi-final W 🇫🇷 6–4 France, Third place
Head-to-head at the World Cup