🇬🇭 Ghana 1–0 Panama 🇵🇦 2026 · live

2026 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €234M · value #25 · Elo #46

1–0Ghana win

value €35M · value #42 · Elo #30

Model P(result)

11.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

3.12

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

220

1510 vs 1730

Stage

Group

2026 World Cup