🇩🇪 Germany 3–0 Ecuador 🇪🇨

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10

3–0Germany win

value €18M · value #27 · Elo #27

Model P(result)

53.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

118

1923 vs 1805

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup