🇩🇪 Germany 0–2 Italy 🇮🇹
2006 World Cup · Semi-final. tournament · tables
🇩🇪 Germany value €181M · value #9 · Elo #10
Michael Ballack €35M Miroslav Klose €20M Lukas Podolski €12M 0–2 Italy win
🇮🇹 Italy value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7
Francesco Totti €37M Gianluigi Buffon €30M Alessandro Nesta €29M Goals
Germany ▲ Italy ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' 105' 120' Fabio Grosso 119' 119 Grosso Alessandro Del Piero 120+1' 121 Piero
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇩🇪 Germany
Jens Lehmann · GK 1 Lehmann Philipp Lahm · LB 16 Lahm Per Mertesacker · CB 17 Mertesacker Christoph Metzelder · CB 21 Metzelder Arne Friedrich · RB 3 Friedrich Michael Ballack · CM 13 Ballack Tim Borowski · LM 18 Borowski Bernd Schneider · RM 19 Schneider Sebastian Kehl · CM 5 Kehl Miroslav Klose · CF 11 Klose Lukas Podolski · CF 20 Podolski 🇮🇹 Italy
Gianluigi Buffon · GK 1 Buffon Gianluca Zambrotta · RB 19 Zambrotta Marco Materazzi · CB 23 Materazzi Fabio Grosso · LB 3 Grosso Fabio Cannavaro · CB 5 Cannavaro Francesco Totti · AM 10 Totti Mauro Camoranesi · RM 16 Camoranesi Simone Perrotta · LM 20 Perrotta Andrea Pirlo · CM 21 Pirlo Gennaro Gattuso · CM 8 Gattuso Luca Toni · CF 9 Toni Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇩🇪 Germany 27.7% draw 26.4% 45.9% Italy 🇮🇹
Model P(result)
45.9%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#245
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.12
−log₂ P(observed)
Germany's run W 🇨🇷 4–2 Costa Rica, Group W 🇵🇱 1–0 Poland, Group W 🇪🇨 3–0 Ecuador, Group W 🇸🇪 2–0 Sweden, Round of 16 D 🇦🇷 1–1 Argentina, Quarter-final L 🇮🇹 0–2 Italy, Semi-final W 🇵🇹 3–1 Portugal, Third place Italy's run W 🇬🇭 2–0 Ghana, Group D 🇺🇸 1–1 United States, Group W 🇨🇿 2–0 Czech Republic, Group W 🇦🇺 1–0 Australia, Round of 16 W 🇺🇦 3–0 Ukraine, Quarter-final W 🇩🇪 2–0 Germany, Semi-final D 🇫🇷 1–1 France, Final
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.