🇸🇪 Sweden 1–0 Paraguay 🇵🇾
2006 World Cup · Group. tournament · tables
🇸🇪 Sweden value €108M · value #11 · Elo #11
Zlatan Ibrahimović €25M Freddie Ljungberg €17M Kim Källström €8M 1–0 Sweden win
🇵🇾 Paraguay value €23M · value #26 · Elo #22
Nelson Haedo Valdez €5M Roque Santa Cruz €2M Julio dos Santos €2M Goals
Sweden ▲ Paraguay ▼ 0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90' Freddie Ljungberg 89' 89 Ljungberg
Starting line-ups
List Pitch
🇸🇪 Sweden
Andreas Isaksson · GK 1 Isaksson Olof Mellberg · CB 3 Mellberg Teddy Lučić · CB 4 Lučić Erik Edman · LB 5 Edman Niclas Alexandersson · RB 7 Alexandersson Kim Källström · CM 16 Källström Christian Wilhelmsson · RM 21 Wilhelmsson Tobias Linderoth · CM 6 Linderoth Freddie Ljungberg · LM 9 Ljungberg Zlatan Ibrahimović · CF 10 Ibrahimović Henrik Larsson · CF 11 Larsson 🇵🇾 Paraguay
Aldo Bobadilla · GK 22 Bobadilla Jorge Núñez · LB 2 Núñez Denis Caniza · RB 21 Caniza Carlos Gamarra · CB 4 Gamarra Julio César Cáceres · CB 5 Cáceres Roberto Acuña · CM 10 Acuña Carlos Paredes · CM 13 Paredes Cristian Riveros · LM 16 Riveros Carlos Bonet · RM 6 Bonet Nelson Valdez · CF 18 Valdez Roque Santa Cruz · CF 9 Cruz Players sit in vertical bands (GK · defence · midfield · attack) by their listed position — no
left/right placement is inferred. Order within a band is squad-sheet order, not a formation.
Pre-match model (Elo→Poisson, 90-min W/D/L)
🇸🇪 Sweden 47.4% draw 26.2% 26.4% Paraguay 🇵🇾
Model P(result)
47.4%
P of the observed 90-min outcome
Upset rank
#252
of 487 · −log₂ P
Upset index
1.08
−log₂ P(observed)
Sweden's run D 🇹🇹 0–0 Trinidad and Tobago, Group W 🇵🇾 1–0 Paraguay, Group D 🏴 2–2 England, Group L 🇩🇪 0–2 Germany, Round of 16 Paraguay's run L 🏴 0–1 England, Group L 🇸🇪 0–1 Sweden, Group W 🇹🇹 2–0 Trinidad and Tobago, Group
Head-to-head at the World Cup No prior World Cup meetings.