🇵🇾 Paraguay 2–0 Trinidad and Tobago 🇹🇹

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €23M · value #26 · Elo #22

2–0Paraguay win

value €12M · value #31 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

59.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.74

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

160

1740 vs 1580

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup