🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–2 Sweden 🇸🇪

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €342M · value #3 · Elo #3

2–2draw

value €108M · value #11 · Elo #11

Model P(result)

24.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

2.03

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

133

1995 vs 1862

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup