🇪🇸 Spain 4–0 Ukraine 🇺🇦

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €329M · value #4 · Elo #6

4–0Spain win

value €78M · value #15 · Elo #20

Model P(result)

61.8%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.69

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

175

1965 vs 1790

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup