🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England 2–0 Trinidad and Tobago 🇹🇹

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €342M · value #3 · Elo #3

2–0England win

value €12M · value #31 · Elo #29

Model P(result)

84.4%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

0.24

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

399

1987 vs 1588

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup