🇮🇹 Italy 2–0 Czech Republic 🇨🇿

2006 World Cup · Group. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7

2–0Italy win

value €129M · value #10 · Elo #4

Model P(result)

39.5%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.34

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

1942 vs 1921

Stage

Group

2006 World Cup