🇫🇷 France 1–1 Italy 🇮🇹

2006 World Cup · Final. Result scored against the Elo→Poisson model. tournament · tables

value €270M · value #5 · Elo #5

1–1draw

value €378M · value #1 · Elo #7

Model P(result)

27.0%

model probability of the observed score

Upset index

1.89

−log₂ P(observed)

Elo gap

2064 vs 2078

Stage

Final

2006 World Cup